系列:Stock Knowledge 101

Getting started with indicators: MACD / PE / PB in one picture

This is the intro to Stock Knowledge 101 — for readers who have never touched technical or valuation indicators. After this one page you’ll have the overall framework needed for the later single-topic deep dives like K04 / K05 / K09.

One-line summary: MACD reads “momentum and direction”, PE / PB read “how expensive it is”. Use the trio together: right direction + enough momentum + reasonable valuation = a safer entry.

1. What does each of the three indicators do?

  • MACD (technical · momentum)

    • Full name: Moving Average Convergence Divergence
    • What it does: draws the “gap between fast and slow moving averages” as a line + red/green bars, to read the strength and direction of price up/down movement
    • Where to see it: the panel below the price chart — DIF line / DEA line / red-green bars
    • How to use: golden cross = bullish, death cross = bearish, divergence = reversal warning (see [K05] / [K05] / [K05])
  • PE (Price/Earnings ratio) (fundamental · valuation)

    • Full name: Price / Earnings per Share (price ÷ earnings per share)
    • What it does: how many years to break even at current earnings (theoretical)
    • Reading the number: PE=10 → break even in 10 years (“cheap”); PE=100 → 100 years (“expensive”)
    • How to use: compare within the same industry + PE percentile ([K09]). Lower is not always better — depends on industry and growth
  • PB (Price/Book ratio) (fundamental · valuation)

    • Full name: Price / Book value per Share (price ÷ net assets per share)
    • What it does: how much the market price marks up the company’s “net worth”
    • Best for: asset-heavy sectors like banks, real estate, resources ([K09])
    • How to use: PB<1 often means the market doubts asset quality; PB>5 is pricey (industry-dependent)

2. One picture to understand the trio

Trio positioning: MACD (momentum) + PE (earnings valuation) + PB (asset valuation) ① Price (candles + moving averages) → trend: moving averages ([K04]) ② MACD (momentum / direction) 0 golden cross green bars↑=momentum up · red bars↓=momentum down

DIF (fast) = EMA12 − EMA26 DEA (slow) = 9-day smooth of DIF bars = 2 × (DIF − DEA) golden cross (DIF above DEA) = bullish death cross = bearish · divergence = reversal warning → details: [K05] (basics) / [K05] (divergence) / [K05] (reading)

③ PE (earnings valuation) PE = price / earnings per share - smaller = "cheaper" (same industry) - PE percentile beats absolute value → see [K09] ④ PB (asset valuation) PB = price / book value per share - banks / real estate / resources (asset-heavy) - PB<1 not always cheap (asset quality) → see [K09]
Fig: the "division of labor" of the three indicators — price / MACD for technicals, PE / PB for fundamental valuation

3. How to use the trio

ScenarioTrio signalWhat to do
Uptrend + momentum strengthening + reasonable valuationPrice above MA60 + MACD golden cross above zero + PE in bottom 30% of 5-yr rangeGood entry (ride the trend + cheap valuation)
Uptrend + momentum weakeningPrice still above MA60 + MACD bearish divergenceCaution, prepare to reduce
Downtrend + cheap valuationPrice below MA60 + PE in bottom 20% of historyDon’t catch a falling knife; wait for reversal signal (MACD golden cross) then scale in
Uptrend + overvaluationPrice strong + PE above 80% of historyDon’t chase; if holding, consider taking profit in tranches

4. Traps beginners fall into

  1. Blind faith in a single indicator: buying on MACD golden cross or low PE alone is wrong — a golden cross can be a bounce midpoint, a low PE can be a “value trap” (declining industry).
  2. Comparing PE / PB across industries: comparing a tech stock PE=30 with a bank PE=6 is meaningless. Each industry has its own reasonable range.
  3. Treating MACD as a predictor: MACD is a lagging indicator — use it to confirm a trend, not to predict tops/bottoms.
  4. Looking at absolute value, not percentile: is PE=15 expensive or cheap? It depends on its percentile over the past 5 years. Percentile matters more than the absolute number.

5. Suggested reading order after this

  • Want “momentum” details → [K05 MACD basics] → [K05 MACD divergence] → [K05 reading MACD]
  • Want “valuation” details → [K09 PE deep dive] → [K09 PB / PS] → [K09 PEG / DCF]
  • Want “how to combine” → [K06 indicator combo practice]
  • Want “why just a few is enough” → [How to pick important indicators (meta-method)] (#)

📌 Remember in one line: MACD reads direction and strength, PE / PB read expensiveness; combine the three and you beat any “buy on golden cross” rule.

⚠️ This article is a methodological illustration and does not constitute any investment or trading advice. Markets are risky; decide with caution.

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📚 本系列:Stock Knowledge 101(共 12 篇)

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