This is the intro to Stock Knowledge 101 — for readers who have never touched technical or valuation indicators. After this one page you’ll have the overall framework needed for the later single-topic deep dives like K04 / K05 / K09.
One-line summary: MACD reads “momentum and direction”, PE / PB read “how expensive it is”. Use the trio together: right direction + enough momentum + reasonable valuation = a safer entry.
1. What does each of the three indicators do?
-
MACD (technical · momentum)
- Full name: Moving Average Convergence Divergence
- What it does: draws the “gap between fast and slow moving averages” as a line + red/green bars, to read the strength and direction of price up/down movement
- Where to see it: the panel below the price chart — DIF line / DEA line / red-green bars
- How to use: golden cross = bullish, death cross = bearish, divergence = reversal warning (see [K05] / [K05] / [K05])
-
PE (Price/Earnings ratio) (fundamental · valuation)
- Full name: Price / Earnings per Share (price ÷ earnings per share)
- What it does: how many years to break even at current earnings (theoretical)
- Reading the number: PE=10 → break even in 10 years (“cheap”); PE=100 → 100 years (“expensive”)
- How to use: compare within the same industry + PE percentile ([K09]). Lower is not always better — depends on industry and growth
-
PB (Price/Book ratio) (fundamental · valuation)
- Full name: Price / Book value per Share (price ÷ net assets per share)
- What it does: how much the market price marks up the company’s “net worth”
- Best for: asset-heavy sectors like banks, real estate, resources ([K09])
- How to use: PB<1 often means the market doubts asset quality; PB>5 is pricey (industry-dependent)
2. One picture to understand the trio
3. How to use the trio
| Scenario | Trio signal | What to do |
|---|---|---|
| Uptrend + momentum strengthening + reasonable valuation | Price above MA60 + MACD golden cross above zero + PE in bottom 30% of 5-yr range | Good entry (ride the trend + cheap valuation) |
| Uptrend + momentum weakening | Price still above MA60 + MACD bearish divergence | Caution, prepare to reduce |
| Downtrend + cheap valuation | Price below MA60 + PE in bottom 20% of history | Don’t catch a falling knife; wait for reversal signal (MACD golden cross) then scale in |
| Uptrend + overvaluation | Price strong + PE above 80% of history | Don’t chase; if holding, consider taking profit in tranches |
4. Traps beginners fall into
- Blind faith in a single indicator: buying on MACD golden cross or low PE alone is wrong — a golden cross can be a bounce midpoint, a low PE can be a “value trap” (declining industry).
- Comparing PE / PB across industries: comparing a tech stock PE=30 with a bank PE=6 is meaningless. Each industry has its own reasonable range.
- Treating MACD as a predictor: MACD is a lagging indicator — use it to confirm a trend, not to predict tops/bottoms.
- Looking at absolute value, not percentile: is PE=15 expensive or cheap? It depends on its percentile over the past 5 years. Percentile matters more than the absolute number.
5. Suggested reading order after this
- Want “momentum” details → [K05 MACD basics] → [K05 MACD divergence] → [K05 reading MACD]
- Want “valuation” details → [K09 PE deep dive] → [K09 PB / PS] → [K09 PEG / DCF]
- Want “how to combine” → [K06 indicator combo practice]
- Want “why just a few is enough” → [How to pick important indicators (meta-method)] (#)
📌 Remember in one line: MACD reads direction and strength, PE / PB read expensiveness; combine the three and you beat any “buy on golden cross” rule.
⚠️ This article is a methodological illustration and does not constitute any investment or trading advice. Markets are risky; decide with caution.
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